SpaceX must build 1,000 spacecraft in 10 years to reach the Mars goal. So far, 0 spacecraft have reached space

Photo of author


Elon Musk it’s about meLeaving Earth behind and heading to Mars in one of its rockets. and taking a lot of people with him. He previously said that to do Regular round-trip flights between Earth and Mars. a reality, your company SpaceX You would need to build around 1,000 starships.

That will take a while, considering there are only a few StarshipIt’s in various stages of construction right now and, you know, it hasn’t been to space, let alone Mars. In a recent Twitter post (or X, I don’t care)suggested musk SpaceX You may actually need to build spaceships even faster than you initially anticipated. their strange colony on Mars a reality.

“To achieve Mars colonization in about three decades, we need ship production to be 100 per year, but ideally increase to 300 per year,” Musk wrote on Twitter. That’s a lot of boats. To put this in perspective, over the last three decades, boeing has built an average of approximately 300 of its 737 aircraft per year. Keep in mind, 737 They’re much easier to build than rockets intended to go to Mars, and Boeing is really good at building them, something SpaceX can’t say right now about Starship.

The 737 The pace of production is not the only airline-related goal SpaceX is pursuing. Gwynne ShotwellMusk’s second-in-command at the company said last year that engineers have “…designed Starship to be as close to airplane operations as possible… We want to talk about dozens of launches a day, if not hundreds of launches a day”, Ars Technique reports. This has to happen to SpaceX so it can transport millions of tons of equipment into space for a theoretical settlement on Mars. Many of the launches will reportedly be Starship refueling tankers needed to make interplanetary travel a reality. Think of them as space gas stations in a way.

This is how Musk and SpaceX plan to do the Starship and Super Heavy reinforcement work over and over again and what exactly they will be used for, according to Ars Technique:

SpaceX still aims to make Starship and its Super Heavy booster quickly reusable. The fact of the matter is that the ship, the part that would travel to orbit and eventually to the Moon or Mars, will not be reused as frequently as the booster. These ships will come in several different configurations, including crew and cargo transports, refueling ships, fuel depots, and satellite deployments.

The propeller design will be the same on all the different types of ships in the fleet. The Super Heavy, with more than 30 Raptor engines, will also return to SpaceX launch sites about six minutes after liftoff, similar to how SpaceX recovers its Falcon boosters today. In theory, Musk wrote, the booster could be ready for another flight within an hour.

With the Starship itself, the laws of physics and the realities of geography come into play. SpaceX will initially have Super Heavy and Starship launch and landing pads in South Texas and Cape Canaveral, Florida, although the company has flirted with the idea of ​​offshore launch and landing pads.

When an object flies in low Earth orbit, the Earth rotates beneath it. This means that a satellite, or Starship, will be displaced about 22.5 degrees in longitude from its launch site after a single 90-minute orbit around the planet. A spacecraft in low Earth orbit could take several hours, or even a day, to align with one of the recovery sites.

“The spacecraft needs to complete at least one orbit, but often several for the Earth’s trajectory to align with the launch site, so reuse may only be daily,” Musk wrote, according to Ars Technica. “This means that ship production should be about an order of magnitude higher than booster production.”

Despite Musk’s general bullshit and desire promise too much and underdeliver, Ars Technica says it’s actually been pretty level-headed when it comes to SpaceX. Hell, he’s apparently even said that his schedule predictions are often aspirational. Yes friend, do you think?

Only time will tell if Musk’s goals for SpaceX can become a reality. His past successes and failures have been as broad in scope as the companies he owns. Will trips to Mars end like the Tesla Supercharger Network – What is pretty much the gold standard of charging right now? Or will it end like yours? Las Vegas underground tunnels – Which are really just a joke at this point?

Leave a comment